I wish Parry would change his rating system a bit. I think it is a bit off on
quite a few programs and I hate to see any programs, such as Monument Valley,
have a negative rating. I do appreciate his efforts and it's a fun read
but perhaps an adjusted scale and a bit closer look at the programs is in order.
@eagleI wish people would take the time to understand how Parry
makes his calculations. Every year, every week, someone wants him to change how
he makes his predictions because they don't like what he presents. His
system is 100% statistically based, with no subjective emotions, wants or
desires factored in. Changing his model because someone doesn't have the
rating they want would be to ruin the integrity of the model. Does he always
get it right, no, but that's what makes it so intriguing. I quite enjoy
reading his predictions and following up to see how he did. The amazing thing to
me is how accurate he really is! If a team doesn't like their rating, they
need to increase their stat's in the categories he uses to make his
predictions. Can we please just have one thing in this world that doesn't
have to be politically correct so someone doesn't get their feelings hurt?
Can you give a score for teams that do not play or play out of State teams? It
would be nice to see the score that Bingham has right now, even if you do not
have a rating for the Idaho school they are playing.
Why are people complaining about Parry's picks? The only thing that really
matters is who wins the Grid Picks each week. By the way, where is the Grid
Picks this year?
Parry is a FarceJust FYI Parry does a power guide for all major
professional sports, college football and basketball and high school football in
Utah, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon and Washington. Why he didn't post the Bingham
game, I don't know, but chances are he does have a rating for the Idaho
team they're playing. As far as people wanting to make
adjustments to his system you're crazy. To do so would require a complete
reset to make give it any kind of validity. Years and years worth of information
used for current ratings would have to be recalculated to bring it up to today
if he made the smallest of changes.
Does anyone know (or if Parry reads this maybe can provide it) the stats and
calculations that are used for these numbers and favorites and how they are
I think his system is pretty good, other than it seems to base too much emphasis
on last years record and does not adjust the ratings quickly enough based on the
results of this year.I've observed it in the past but cannot
remember a specifid example, so I'll make one up. Let's take
Syracuse, last years runner up in 5A and favorite to win region 1, they start
they year off with a 116.7. And I'll use Fremont, a team that is up and
down from year to year and is picked in the lower half of their region this
year, they start the year with a 88.2. Let's say in 5 weeks, Fremont has
put it together and is 5-0 with wins over Jordan, Brighton, and Davis but
Syracuse has struggled and is 1-4 with 3 losses to teams from lower
classifications. Syracuse will still have a higher rating in Parry's
system at that point.My scenario will likely not come to pass with
these 2 specific teams, but it will happen and I'll point it out when it
Gutsy pick by James Edward in 3AA, going against the Parry line to take
Stansbury over Desert Hills in St. George. I don't see that happening.
Stansbury has almost a 300 mile bus ride to take on a team that was 3A state
semifinalist in each of the last 2 seasons. I think Thunder gets revenge for
last year's narrow loss at Stansbury.Of course, all games are
played on the field. And all comments on these boards, including mine, are
Love looking at the perdition.. but please dont underdog EAST, last night made
enough of a statement thanks!